A ping pong ball has a mass of about 2.8 grams and a volume of about 28.8 ml. Assume water has a density of 1.0 kg/L
Then if the water level is at the 500 ml line, the plastic side has 500-28.8 = 471.2 ml of water.
The lead side has the same amount of water because the water line and the volume of the ball are the same.
The force pushing down the plastic side is simply it's weight, (471.2 + 2.8)*9.81 = 4.65 N
The force pushing down the lead side is equal to the weight of the water plus the buoyant force pushing up on the lead ball (by Newton's third law, an equal and opposite force pushes down on the beaker). The weight of the water is 471.2*9.81 = 4.62 N.
By Archemedes' principle, the buoyant force on the lead ball is equal to the weight of the water it displaces, which is 28.8*9.81 = 0.28 N. Thus the total force pushing the lead side down is 4.62+0.28 = 4.91 N.
Thus the lead side goes down. It should be noted that the tension in the string holding the lead weight is reduced by the amount of buoyant force pushing up on the lead ball. You can ignore the mass of the plastic ball if you like, the effect will only be emphasized. Actually, the problem works just as well without the plastic side, but that makes a nice red herring for people who work out that the volumes are equal, and then stop there.
Ashley Zinyk