Author Topic: 2020 Celebrity Death Pool  (Read 438 times)

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Online Morvis13

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2020 Celebrity Death Pool
« on: December 12, 2019, 11:04:34 PM »
Blatantly stolen from last year:

Rank the 50 celebrities in order from 1 to 50. With 1 (Top) being the most likely to die and 50 (Bottom) being the least likely.
Scoring will be (51-R). Where R=where you ranked the celebrity.
Top of your list will be worth 50 Points. Bottom of your list will only be worth 1 point.

As per a suggestion by brilligtove there will be incentive to place younger celebrities higher.
There will be a bonus 20 points for whoever ranks the youngest person to die, highest on their list
There will be a bonus 10 points for whoever ranks the 2nd youngest person to die, highest on their list
There will be a bonus 5 points for whoever ranks the 3rd youngest person to die highest on their list
If more than 1 person ranks a celebrity highest then those bonus points will be divided between them.

Obviously the bonus points will apply at the end of the year. I will add them provisionally as each celebrity dies, and adjust them if a younger celebrity dies.

Here is the list.
Allen, Woody
Asner, Ed
Attenborough, David
Barker, Bob
Beatty, Ned
Belafonte, Harry
Bennett, Tony
Brimley, Wilford
Brooks, Mel
Carter, Jimmy
Cheney, Dick
Cleary, Beverly
Clinton, Bill
Cosby, Bill
de Havilland, Olivia
Dole, Bob
Douglas, Kirk
Downs, Hugh
Ginsburg, Ruth Bader
Gorbachev, Mikhail
Holbrook, Hal
Kim Jong-Un
King, Don
King, Larry
Kissinger, Henry
Lansbury, Angela
Lasorda, Tommy
Lear, Norman
Lewis, Jerry Lee
Little Richard
Lockhart, June
Madoff, Bernard
Mondale, Walter
Mubarak, Hosni
Nelson, Willie
Newhart, Bob
Ono, Yoko
Osbourne, Ozzy
Pope Benedict XVI
Prince Philip
Queen Elizabeth II
Reiner, Carl
Sandusky, Jerry
Saint, Eva Marie
Spector, Phil
Stiller, Jerry
Tyson, Cicely
Van Dyke, Dick
Walters, Barbara
White, Betty

« Last Edit: December 14, 2019, 03:35:52 PM by Morvis13 »
Murphy's Law: Anything that can go wrong will go wrong.
Morvis' Law: Anything that does go wrong is my fault.

Offline DevoutCatalyst

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Re: 2020 Celebrity Death Pool
« Reply #1 on: December 12, 2019, 11:11:53 PM »
Valerie Harper has got to go.

Offline Tassie Dave

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Re: 2020 Celebrity Death Pool
« Reply #2 on: December 13, 2019, 03:02:28 AM »
I'll play again  8)

Barbara Walters, Cicely Tyson and Eve Marie Saint are new this year. With another one to come to replace Valerie.

I was a bit shocked to see that Barbara is 90. I thought she was much younger than that ???






Offline DevoutCatalyst

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Re: 2020 Celebrity Death Pool
« Reply #3 on: December 13, 2019, 06:20:04 AM »
How do you know Barbara Walters? You're not from around here are you?  8)

Offline Tassie Dave

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Re: 2020 Celebrity Death Pool
« Reply #4 on: December 13, 2019, 04:04:50 PM »
How do you know Barbara Walters? You're not from around here are you?  8)

Barbara is world famous. She's been on my TV for decades. She's one of the good ones.  8) Too bad we also get the O'Reilly's, Hannitys and Becks  ???

Offline Evil Eye

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Re: 2020 Celebrity Death Pool
« Reply #5 on: December 14, 2019, 02:39:39 PM »
David Silverman (The Atheist Activist)
"We'll get that information to you later" - Richard Feynman to Mr. Rodgers.

Online Morvis13

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Re: 2020 Celebrity Death Pool
« Reply #6 on: December 14, 2019, 03:37:06 PM »
modified the list to remove Valerie Harper. Sub in Cleary, Beverly (103)
Murphy's Law: Anything that can go wrong will go wrong.
Morvis' Law: Anything that does go wrong is my fault.

Offline Tassie Dave

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Re: 2020 Celebrity Death Pool
« Reply #7 on: December 14, 2019, 03:53:55 PM »
1     Prince Philip            
2     Pope Benedict XVI         
3     Kirk Douglas                   
4    Olivia de Havilland        
5    Hugh Downs          
6     Carl Reiner            
7      Cicely Tyson
8     Norman Lear         
9   Bob Dole            
10   Bob Barker  
11   Beverly Cleary      
12    Harry Belafonte
13   Henry Kissinger      
14    Eve Marie Saint      
15   Hal Holbrook         
16   Jimmy Carter   
17   Dick Van Dyke      
18   Angela Lansbury      
19    June Lockhart        
20   David Attenborough         
21   Mel Brooks   
22   Tony Bennett         
23   Jerry Stiller            
24   Tommy Lasorda         
25   Walter Mondale      
26   Hosni Mubarak         
27   Bob Newhart         
28   Ed Asner            
29   Queen Elizabeth II         
30   Mikhail Gorbachev   
31   Jerry Lee Lewis         
32   Don King            
33   Little Richard            
34   Wilford Brimley         
35   Larry King            
36   Yoko Ono         
37   Ruth Bader Ginsburg      
38   Willie Nelson         
39   Woody Allen   
40  Barbara Walters         
41   Betty White           
42   Bill Cosby            
43  Phil Spector         
44   Bernard Madoff         
45   Ned Beatty                       
46   Ozzy Osbourne         
47   Dick Cheney      
48   Jerry Sandusky         
49   Bill Clinton            
50   Kim Jong-Un 

Online Morvis13

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Re: 2020 Celebrity Death Pool
« Reply #8 on: December 14, 2019, 04:36:11 PM »
Publish my list:
Cleary, Beverly
Tyson, Cicely
Asner, Ed
Belafonte, Harry
Brimley, Wilford
de Havilland, Olivia
Kissinger, Henry
Saint, Eva Marie
Lear, Norman
Lockhart, June
Holbrook, Hal
Dole, Bob
Mubarak, Hosni
Spector, Phil
Attenborough, David
Barker, Bob
Lansbury, Angela
Newhart, Bob
Douglas, Kirk
Sandusky, Jerry
Gorbachev, Mikhail
Ginsburg, Ruth Bader
Reiner, Carl
Van Dyke, Dick
King, Don
Lasorda, Tommy
Madoff, Bernard
Mondale, Walter
Beatty, Ned
Cheney, Dick
Carter, Jimmy
Brooks, Mel
Stiller, Jerry
Walters, Barbara
White, Betty
Allen, Woody
Cosby, Bill
Bennett, Tony
Nelson, Willie
Lewis, Jerry Lee
Little Richard
Downs, Hugh
King, Larry
Queen Elizabeth II
Clinton, Bill
Ono, Yoko
Prince Philip
Pope Benedict XVI
Osbourne, Ozzy
Kim Jong-Un
Murphy's Law: Anything that can go wrong will go wrong.
Morvis' Law: Anything that does go wrong is my fault.

Offline DevoutCatalyst

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Re: 2020 Celebrity Death Pool
« Reply #9 on: December 27, 2019, 11:50:44 AM »
1. Attenborough, David
2. Cleary, Beverly
3. White, Betty
4. Ginsburg, Ruth Bader
5. King, Larry
6. Douglas, Kirk
7. Walters, Barbara
8. Downs, Hugh
9. Stiller, Jerry 
10. de Havilland, Olivia
11. Little Richard
12. Cheney, Dick
13. Reiner, Carl
14. Beatty, Ned
15. Allen, Woody
16. Prince Philip
17. Brooks, Mel
18. Cosby, Bill
19. Spector, Phil
20. Bennett, Tony
21. Pope Benedict XVI
22. Kissinger, Henry
23. Kim Jong-Un
24. Tyson, Cicely
25. Lockhart, June
26. Dole, Bob
27. Osbourne, Ozzy
28. Saint, Eva Marie
29. Barker, Bob
30. Ono, Yoko
31. Lansbury, Angela
32. King, Don
33. Clinton, Bill
34. Asner, Ed
35. Gorbachev, Mikhail
36. Madoff, Bernard
37. Queen Elizabeth II
38. Belafonte, Harry
39. Mondale, Walter
40. Lasorda, Tommy
41. Brimley, Wilford
42. Newhart, Bob
43. Carter, Jimmy
44. Sandusky, Jerry
45. Holbrook, Hal
46. Nelson, Willie
47. Lewis, Jerry Lee
48. Mubarak, Hosni
49. Lear, Norman
50. Van Dyke, Dick

Online The Latinist

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Re: 2020 Celebrity Death Pool
« Reply #10 on: December 27, 2019, 12:09:42 PM »
I'm going with Random.org this year:

1. Downs, Hugh
2. Lear, Norman
3. Little Richard
4. King, Don
5. Van Dyke, Dick
6. Osbourne, Ozzy
7. Brimley, Wilford
8. Cosby, Bill
9. Spector, Phil
10. Tyson, Cicely
11. Holbrook, Hal
12. Saint, Eva Marie
13. Gorbachev, Mikhail
14. Belafonte, Harry
15. Lasorda, Tommy
16. White, Betty
17. Sandusky, Jerry
18. Reiner, Carl
19. Dole, Bob
20. Carter, Jimmy
21. Asner, Ed
22. de Havilland, Olivia
23. Attenborough, David
24. Lansbury, Angela
25. Bennett, Tony
26. Cheney, Dick
27. Ono, Yoko
28. Kim Jong-Un
29. Stiller, Jerry
30. Pope Benedict XVI
31. Barker, Bob
32. Prince Philip
33. Allen, Woody
34. Newhart, Bob
35. Mondale, Walter
36. Lockhart, June
37. Brooks, Mel
38. Mubarak, Hosni
39. Madoff, Bernard
40. Nelson, Willie
41. Kissinger, Henry
42. Douglas, Kirk
43. Lewis, Jerry Lee
44. King, Larry
45. Cleary, Beverly
46. Queen Elizabeth II
47. Beatty, Ned
48. Ginsburg, Ruth Bader
49. Clinton, Bill
50. Walters, Barbara
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Offline DevoutCatalyst

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Re: 2020 Celebrity Death Pool
« Reply #11 on: December 27, 2019, 12:39:10 PM »
I hand picked the top ten. Then randomized them. Then randomized the lower forty.

Offline CarbShark

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Re: 2020 Celebrity Death Pool
« Reply #12 on: December 31, 2019, 09:22:37 PM »
So am I doing this wrong? This is my list of the 50 most-likely-to. My top 10 and the bottom 40 are in alphabetical order.

I must be thinking about a different game where you got more points for the younger an accurate prediction could get you. One Miley Cirus would be worth 10 Betty Whites.

(Notice that SNL is well represented in my list)

1 Butler, Brett
2 Chase, Chevy
3 Davidson, Pete
4 Dick, Andy
5 Hart, Kevin
6 Jagger, Mick
7 Jones, Leslie
8 Kelly, R
9 Morgan, Tracy
10 Starr, Richard
11 Allen, Woody
12 Asner, Ed
13 Barker, Bob
14 Beatty, Ned
15 Belafonte, Harry
16 Bennett, Tony
17 Brimley, Wilford
18 Brooks, Mel
19 Carter, Jimmy
20 Cheney, Dick
21 Cleary, Beverly
22 Cosby, Bill
23 de Havilland, Olivia
24 Dole, Bob
25 Douglas, Kirk
26 Downs, Hugh
27 Gorbachev, Mikhail
28 Holbrook, Hal
29 King, Larry
30 Kissinger, Henry
31 Lansbury, Angela
32 Lasorda, Tommy
33 Lear, Norman
34 Lewis, Jerry Lee
35 Lockhart, June
36 Madoff, Bernard
37 Mondale, Walter
38 Nelson, Willie
39 Newhart, Bob
40 Osbourne, Ozzy
41 Pope Benedict XVI
42 Prince Philip
43 Queen Elizabeth II
44 Richards, Keith
45 Saint, Eva Marie
46 Stiller, Jerry
47 Tyson, Cicely
48 Van Dyke, Dick
49 Walters, Barbara
50 White, Betty
and Donald Trump is President of the United States.

I'm not a doctor, I'm just someone who has done a ton of research into diet and nutrition.

Offline Tassie Dave

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Re: 2020 Celebrity Death Pool
« Reply #13 on: December 31, 2019, 09:58:06 PM »
You have a few names on your list that aren't in the 50 that morvis13 has named. Only those 50 people are to be ranked from 1 (most likely to die) to 50 (least likely) in your opinion.

You gain more points for names at the top of the list. Picking a younger person (who dies) high will gain points, not only from the Bonus Points, but against the other players, who are more likely to have that person lower.

Consequently picking a very old person low on the list could back fire (if they die) as you will get less points and lose ground against the other players.

It's a balancing act of putting older people who you think will survive the year low, and younger people who you think could die, high.

Offline CarbShark

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Re: 2020 Celebrity Death Pool
« Reply #14 on: December 31, 2019, 10:29:59 PM »
You have a few names on your list that aren't in the 50 that morvis13 has named. Only those 50 people are to be ranked from 1 (most likely to die) to 50 (least likely) in your opinion.

You gain more points for names at the top of the list. Picking a younger person (who dies) high will gain points, not only from the Bonus Points, but against the other players, who are more likely to have that person lower.

Consequently picking a very old person low on the list could back fire (if they die) as you will get less points and lose ground against the other players.

It's a balancing act of putting older people who you think will survive the year low, and younger people who you think could die, high.
Ok got it, thanks. I think I played a different game somewhere.


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and Donald Trump is President of the United States.

I'm not a doctor, I'm just someone who has done a ton of research into diet and nutrition.